‘Quantity’ Related Fresh Water Problems: Causes, Effects, Solutions, Forecasts & Stats

This guide is about quantity related global fresh water problems, such as water availability, water scarcity, water stress and water shortages.

We look at the causes, effects, solutions, forecasts, and relevant stats for this category of fresh water problems.


Summary – ‘Quantity’ Related Fresh Water Problems

Quantity related fresh water problems occur when internal fresh water resources are insufficient compared to the demand placed on those resources (demand is the withdrawal and consumption rates) – put another way, when water demand outstrips supply/replenishment, it usually results in the unsustainable use of water

Quantity related freshwater problems are localized to a particular geographic area (e.g. different cities, urban vs rural areas, and so on) over a specific time period

The result of these problems is high competition for scarce water resources, which can lead to a range of consequences and effects

Scarcity and high water stress can come and go as variables like climate and rainfall variability, number and type of water users, and other factors, change over a given time period

Potable water, and non potable fresh water, have different end uses, and are held to different standards and regulations.

It’s possible a city can secure their drinking water resources, but have uncertain non potable fresh water supplies for the future.

Perth in Western Australia is an example of a city currently facing this situation

There can be many causes behind quantity related water problems.

Some of the major causes may include (but aren’t limited to) a lack of tools and data to track, measure and forecast water usage and supplies (as well as future demand), a small volume/capacity of fresh water resources, unsustainable withdrawal and consumption rates (water demand has doubled since 1960, and is projected to keep growing in the next few decades), slow replenishment rates (caused in part by a dry or hot climate, with low or inconsistent rainfall, and high evaporation rates), natural events like droughts, lack of efficiency by the major water users like agriculture, industry and the municipal sectors, not having a diverse range of water sources, not having climate independent fresh water sources (such as desalination), and not having the finances for technology such as desalination and waste water treatment and recycling.

Some cities may or may not have access to transboundary water trade with other States and provinces 

The impact of having a lack of fresh water sources has potential for serious consequences, depending on how water stressed a city or region is.

There is a water footprint for almost everything we do or consume in society, and we use water not only to drink, but for many of the main sectors, with agriculture, industry and household being the three main water users.

Cape Town was one example of what can happen when there are water shortages

Because water stress and scarcity are localized problems, they need localized short and long term solutions and strategy, and need to be monitored and modified over time as relevant different variables change

In the future, water consumption is expected to increase most in the agricultural and energy sectors, in line with a growing need for food and energy production for a growing population (pacinst.org)


*Note that access to fresh water in developing or underdeveloped parts of the world is a separate issue to the issues we discuss in this guide.


General Causes Of Water Quantity Problems

There are a different set of causes for water stress or water scarcity in every country, region, city or town.

Some of the major causes of water scarcity, water stress and water quantity related problems are:

– Having a hot and dry climate (these conditions impact the hydrological cycle in terms of there being less rainfall, greater rates of evaporation, and so on.

Also, wind, heat, moisture, and the land/soil are all important when it comes to the process of the hydrological cycle).

– Frequency and intensity of natural events like droughts

– Natural distribution of surface water and ground water over the world, and in an area – some areas have none, or very little natural volumes of fresh water (per capita, and/or total demand volume), and have to rely almost entirely on desalination, or options like transboundary water trade

– Having a small volume (or small capacity) of adequate quality fresh water resources to withdraw from (quality of water needs to suit the end needs)

– Having a slow recharge/replenishment rate of these fresh water resources (due to low rainfall, variable (year to year) rainfall, natural events like droughts, evaporation, catchment areas not working as effectively as they should, and ground water sources being naturally slow to recharge)

– Having unsustainable or inefficient withdrawal and consumption rates from these resources (overdrawing from surface or ground water, and these resources don’t recharge quickly enough).

Fresh water demand has doubled since 1960 (sciencealert.com), and global demand for fresh water will exceed supply by 40% in 2030 (bbc.com).

Another stat from pacinst.org: ‘Humans withdraw about four thousand cubic kilometers of water globally every year – approximately the volume of all the water in Lake Michigan. This is triple what we withdrew 50 years ago, and withdrawals continue to increase at a rate of about 1.6 percent per year. Global demand for water is predicted to increase by 55 percent between 2000 and 2050 … Much of this new demand will be driven by agriculture [and energy demand is expected to grow by 35% by 2035, leading to an increase in energy related water consumption by 60%]’

– A city not having a diverse range of water supply sources (such as surface water, ground water, replenishment schemes, waste water treatment and re-use, water recycling plants and technology, water trade, generating water from air, and so on)

– A city being too reliant on water sources that rely on the climate or natural factors to replenish (such as rain fall)

– Poor management (governmental or institutional) of a city or State’s water resources in the short and long term (especially balancing sustainable withdrawal rates with supply levels and replenishment rates, also investing in the right water infrastructure and technology, and properly planning for water risks, stressors, and severe natural water related events).

This may involve a lack of competence, conflict of interest (such as sacrificing the long term future to get elected in short term election cycles), corruption, or other factors leading to poor or unsustainable management of water

– Not having the finances or practical ability to invest in modern technology like desalination, water recycling, and waste and grey water treatment and recycling


Other causes may include:

– Overconsumption or inefficient consumption of water by the three main water using sectors – agriculture (global average of 70% of withdrawals), industry (global average of 20% of withdrawals), and municipal (global average of 10%)

[note the difference between water withdrawals and consumption … where withdrawals may return to the water source, whilst consumption is a permanent use of the water and no return to the water source]

[also note that in developed countries, industry can make up a much larger share of water usage and agriculture can decrease]

– Specifically with agriculture – there has been the expansion of irrigated agriculture, and ‘Agriculture uses 70% of the world’s accessible freshwater, but some 60% of this is wasted due to leaky irrigation systems, inefficient application methods as well as the cultivation of crops that are too thirsty for the environment in which they are grown … agriculture is also responsible for water pollution from fertilizers and pesticides’ (worldwildlife.org)

– Industry and farmers failing to invest in water efficient or water saving equipment, systems and technology

– Lack of support by the government to introduce initiatives and support for farmers and businesses that invest in and upgrade water saving, water conserving, water efficient and water treating and recycling technology and equipment

– Scarcity as a result of consumption is caused primarily by the extensive use of water in agriculture/livestock breeding and industry (wikipedia.org)

– Water leaks and water loss (across all sectors – one example is the amount of water lost from public supply pipes every year before it even gets to homes.

Water leaks and loss also happens in factories).

Parts of the UK are notorious for losing water/water leaks in the public supply pipes before water gets to households – from independent.co.uk ‘is losing around three billion litres of water each year to leaking pipes’.

From wri.org: ‘In the United States, 6 billion gallons of treated water are lost per day from leaky pipes alone’

– Water waste (by farmers, businesses, but also by consumers when they waste food which has a water footprint)

– Water not being priced properly according to it’s real value – tiered water pricing is one option so that all individuals have basic and affordable water rights, but high users face penalties for inefficient or excessive use

– Problems or long term challenges with fresh water technology like desalination or waste water recycling – such as cost to build, being expensive to run, being energy intensive, being capital or labour intensive, and so on.

Desalination for example has it’s own list of pros and cons

– Climate change can impact (in some regions) activity like precipitation patterns, severity of droughts and other natural events, raise surface temperature, and so on.

This type of activity can impact how dry and hot a climate is, and consequently, replenishment rates of fresh water sources

Water pollution and contamination lowers water quality, and therefore the amount of available fresh water that is suitable to use or consume. Read more about the countries and places with the worst water pollution and contamination in the world

Also, naturally occurring brackish water further limits available fresh water. 

– Fresh water sources being crossed with salt water from salt water sources like the ocean – this happened in Miami as one example

– Overwithdrawal from ground water, and slow recharge rates of ground water aquifers (it can take 5 years or more to see meaningful changes to some ground water aquifer levels).

Recharge of ground water happens when water (from rivers and lakes, or from precipitation) percolates downwards through the microscopic spaces in the soil and rock profile.

Also, unlike surface water sources like lakes, rivers, and dams, it’s hard to see the levels of ground water – which can be a contributing factor to their poor management.

From wri.org: ‘Unless patterns shift, in 20 years, 60 percent of India’s aquifers will be in critical condition.’

– Depletion of ground water sources that can lead to ground water salinity

– Rapid population growth (more people means more demand for water directly, and also for all the indirect uses of water such as growing food, manufacturing products, producing energy, and running households).

Populations are also dependent on the water sources local to them, and ‘Today, 41% of the world’s population lives in river basins that are under water stress’ (worldwildlife.org)

– Rapid industrialization and urbanization

– Economic growth and increase in water intensive economic activities

– Inadequate or poorly enforced water laws, regulations and policy 

– A lack of a comprehensive, detailed and specific sustainable water resources management plan for each level of government – local, State and national

– Over reliance on external or shared fresh water sources (interstate or between countries) as opposed to internal water sources

– Competing interests between different groups in society on how to use water

– There being a lack of integrated water resources management

– Governments investing in inefficient, costly or unsustainable solutions instead of holistic and long term sustainable water solutions

– A growing middle class or societal wealth that results in purchasing of more water intensive products like meat and fossil fuels.

Other examples of water intensive products are ‘270 gallons of water to produce $1 worth of sugar; 200 gallons of water to make $1 worth of pet food; and 140 gallons of water to make $1 worth of milk’ (news.thomasnet.com, and pubs.acs.org)

– Water risk tools used by governments and companies have their limitations, and may lack the quality or accuracy of data required (for example – they don’t account well for water use, politics and some types of water infrastructure. They have deficiencies in detecting acute risks – weforum.org)

– It’s hard to predict different future water factors like future demand, future natural water patterns, and so on

– How cities respond to natural events like droughts, and whether they have proper plans in place

– Inadequate or poorly maintained water infrastructure, and governments failing to maintain or upgrade water infrastructure.

Treatment plants, pipes, and sewer systems need to be maintained – but are costly and time intensive to do so. 

– Changes to a catchment area responsible for stream flow and inflow to surface water sources

– Natural events like floods, hurricanes, etc. can damage water infrastructure, water treatment plants, and contaminate water supplies with different types of contaminants and debris – restricting the overall volume of water supplies


Water Quantity Relationship Between Developed vs Developing Countries

Wikipedia.org describes the different causes of water footprints in some developing countries and developed countries:

People in developed countries generally use about 10 times more water daily than those in developing countries. 

A large part of this is indirect use in water-intensive agricultural and industrial production processes of consumer goods, such as fruit, oil seed crops and cotton.

[due to globalized production chains] a lot of water in developing countries is being used and polluted in order to produce goods destined for consumption in developed countries


Specific Countries, States, Cities & Regions Experiencing Water Quantity Problems

Places with identifiable factors contributing to water quantity issues include:


From bbc.com:

[Sao Paulo, Bangalore, Beijing, Cairo, Jakarta, Moscow, Istanbul, Mexico City, Tokyo and Miami]


From weforum.org:

[Sao Paulo, Cape Town, Chennai and Southeast England]


From businessinsider.com.au:

[Qatar, Israel, Lebanon, Iran, Libya, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Eritrea, UAE, San Marino, Bahrain, India, Pakistan, Turkmenistan and Botswana]


From bloomberg.com:

Middle East & North Africa (due to hot climates and increasing demand) 

Northern India (due to ground water depletion due to high dependence on ground water, and because ground water is poorly managed due to not being seen as often as surface water as it is below ground)


From usnews.com

[London, Melbourne (Australia), Bangalore, Beijing, Sao Paulo, Jakarta, Tokyo, Cairo, Mexico City, Chennai, and Cape Town]


From sciencealert.com:

[India, Middle East & North Africa, and parts of Australia]


From WRI.org:

[Chile may experience water supply problems in the future, and Botswana, Namibia and southern African may all experience water supply risk in the future]



[In the MENA region] Geopolitics also complicates things – some 60% of surface water resources in the region are transboundary, and all countries share at least one aquifer


From wri.org:

India – Ground water sources (and surface water sources) are overdrawn, largely for agriculture


You can read about some of the causes of Perth and Cape Town’s water scarcity issues in these guides:

Water Scarcity in Perth, Western Australia

Water Shortage In Cape Town, South Africa


Causes Of Water Quantity Problems

From the places we listed in the above section, the contributing factors to water supply problems can include one or more of:

A dry climate

A lack of rainfall, or seasonal rainfall, and shifting or variable rainfall patterns

Natural events like droughts

A lack of adequate planning or investment in water strategy and infrastructure by the government

Water loss and leaking in public supply pipes (pipe bursts are a part of this)

Poorly built and poorly maintained water instructure

Water pollution from different sources

Water contamination from different sources and causes, such as from overdrawing in ground water aquifers

A growing economy

Lack of natural surface water sources

Being land locked

Slow recharge rates of natural water sources

Relying primarily on rainfall, and not diversifying water sources

Overpopulation, or a rapidly growing population

Illegal digging of wells

Concrete/asphalt covering soil that could usually absorb rainfall

Urban growth on water absorbing wetlands

A lack of water recycling

The impact of climate change on the water cycle and water infrastructure

Deforestation impacting catchments where water supply is located in forests

Not having housing connected to water supply in poor regions, or rural regions

Sinking of cities restricting access to ground water

Misuse and mismanagement of water in major sectors and by the government

Inefficiency in the agricultural sector

Having a population that consumes above the global average

Access to water being weaponized

Ground water being poorly managed due to not being seen as often as surface water as it is below ground

Having a lack of reliable and robust data about a city’s water situation (India may fall under this banner)


As outlined by WRI.org:

‘Every water-stressed country is affected by a different combination of factors’



The effects of water scarcity and water stress can be wide ranging, and the more water stressed and water scarce a region becomes, the more serious these effects can be.

Effects can be economic, social, and environmental.

On the less serious end of the spectrum, moderate levels of water stress might lead to light levels of water restrictions – this may mean households aren’t able to water their yards during the day time in hot climates, or may only be able to wash their cars with buckets or water and not a hose.

On the far more serious end of the spectrum, higher levels of water stress and water shortages can lead to events like the Cape Town water shortage.

This leads to the possibly of public supply water taps being turned off and severe water restrictions.

Farmers may experience water restrictions, which leads to a flow on effect of decreased yields, decreased profits, decreased food security, and so on.

It’s not only farmers, but almost every aspect of society that depends on water.

In addition to these effects, water stress and scarcity affects different parts of different countries around the world differently.

Read more about the most water stressed and water scarce countries and regions in the world in this guide.


From watersource.awa.asn.au:

[The MENA region could face] expected economic losses from climate-related water scarcity, at about 6% to 14% of GDP by 2050


From sciencealert.com:

Some of the consequences of water stress are food insecurity, conflict and migration, and financial instability


Weforum.org mentions:

Dry taps can trigger disease outbreaks and violent confrontations for scarce water.

Shortages erode business confidence and economic output, while adding stress to the lives of residents.


From wri.org:

[Drought and water shortages in Syria likely contributed to the unrest that stoked the country’s 2011 civil war … and had a severe impact on farmers and herders]

… extremely high water stress creates an environment in which companies, farms and residents are highly dependent on limited amounts of water and vulnerable to the slightest change in supply.

Such situations severely threaten national water security and economic growth.


From bloomberg.com:

The economic impact of severe water shortages came to the fore earlier this year in the south Indian city of Chennai, home to 7.1 million people.

Heat waves and a monsoon delay in the summer months saw some of Chennai’s freshwater lakes dry up, triggering protests and violence, as well as business interruptions, with tech companies asking employees to work from home.


From worldwildlife.org:

[Water scarcity leads to loss of wetlands, and damaged ecosystems]


In regards to the economic value of water, and the potential impact of water going scarce and the associated losses to do with that, soe.environment.gov.au outlines the economic return for water use across several industries in terms of value added per giga litre of water consumed:

Agricultural production—$4 million

Mining industry—$226 million

Manufacturing industry—$164 million.



We’ve put together a solutions guide to global water quantity related problems here.



Read more about the forecasts for water stress and water scarcity in different regions and countries around the world in this guide.


From sciencealert.com:

[Agricultural efficiency, over consumption of water/not controlling withdrawals, and lack of recycling and reuse of waste water, are all major causes of water stress forecast into the future]



Read more about water scarcity and stress in these resources:

Water scarcity stats (unwater.org)

Future of water stress and scarcity (seametrics.com)



From sciencealert.com:

In the past one hundred years – water use has been growing at a rapid rate

Global water withdrawals have more than doubled since 1960



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